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In fact, at the present time, conducting a risk assessment using a static factors method poke knife code mmx can predict violence (or non-violence) about 65-70 of the time.
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I must also say this: we are a lot better at it than we used.
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So what are these risk factors?
On its own, it is still not great at predicting a future violent act (for example, a person who has murdered someone in the past is actually not all that likely to murder someone again in the future).